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Friday, March 5, 2010

Market participants


Unlike a stock market, where all participants have access to the same prices, the foreign exchange market is divided into levels of access. At the top is the inter-bank market, which is made up of the largest investment banking firms. Within the inter-bank market, spreads, which are the difference between the bid and ask prices, are razor sharp and usually unavailable, and not known to players outside the inner circle. The difference between the bid and ask prices widens (from 0-1 pip to 1-2 pips for some currencies such as the EUR). This is due to volume. If a trader can guarantee large numbers of transactions for large amounts, they can demand a smaller difference between the bid and ask price, which is referred to as a better spread. The levels of access that make up the foreign exchange market are determined by the size of the "line" (the amount of money with which they are trading). The top-tier inter-bank market accounts for 53% of all transactions. After that there are usually smaller investment banks, followed by large multi-national corporations (which need to hedge risk and pay employees in different countries), large hedge funds, and even some of the retail FX-metal market makers. According to Galati and Melvin, “Pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds, and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important role in financial markets in general, and in FX markets in particular, since the early 2000s.” (2004) In addition, he notes, “Hedge funds have grown markedly over the 2001–2004 period in terms of both number and overall size” Central banks also participate in the foreign exchange market to align currencies to their economic needs.

Friday, February 26, 2010

Speed Resistance Lines Indicator

Speed Resistance Lines are used to define price support levels. For example, if a security is in a rising trend, its price will usually stay above the 2/3 Speed Line. If prices do penetrate the 2/3 line, they will generally fall all the way to the 1/3 line before regaining support.
Speed Resistance Lines or SRL, also known as Speedlines, are tools to find possible support and resistance levels for an existing trend. SRL were developed by Edson Gould and is similar to Fibonacci Fans indicator. Speed resistance lines combine trend lines and percentage retracements to predict support/resistance levels and also measures the speed of a developing trend.

A set of Speedlines consists of three lines originated from same point at left and are extended to the right side. The first line is created by connecting a recent low to a recent high (in an uptrend) and a recent high to a recent low (in a downtrend). Now a vertical line is plotted covering the vertical difference between the low and high. The second and third lines are plotted in a way that they originate from the same point of first line origin and intersect 1/3 and 2/3 levels of the vertical line. Traders can plot more than one set of SRLs on same chart as the trend develops and new highs/lows are formed. Also many traders use 1/2 or 50% lines to find trend changes.

When the price is in somewhere between two of these lines, the upper line is considered as resistance and lower line is considered resistance. If mid line is crossed (from above/below), the new upper and lower lines become support and resistance levels. Generally if prices cross a line, they fall speedily to the next line. Sell signals are generated in an uptrend when the price cross third (lower) line from above; and buy signals are generated in an downtrend when the price cross third (upper) line from below

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Indicators for Forex Trading

Some people find Forex trading very difficult. The reason behind this is because they did not spend adequate time in studying the market trends and they did not conduct thorough technical analysis. Forex charts are very important and you need to know how these charts are developed. As you probably know by now, the Forex market is a fast-paced environment and you need to keep up with it if you want to earn good profits. Technical analysis can definitely help you and so can market indicators.Indicators are quite helpful especially when you’re about to make a transaction in the Forex market. Most of the time, these indicators provide you with market’s probability behavior but it can’t exactly tell the certainty of currency prices.

Technical indicators are very important in Forex trading. You can combine the indicators to create your very own trading strategy in order to recognize the market trends. As an effective trader, you must be able to identify the current or major trends, the short-trends, and intermediate trends; if you can do this, you will be able to hold a good position in the Forex market where you can earn great profits.

Since the Forex market is changing constantly, you need set a criterion for using the technical indicators. If you want to get the highest probability and accurate predictions, you must be able to combine required indicators. By doing so, you can determine the price behaviors of the currencies you would like to invest on.

Supposing that your judgment is correct, you should still consider other factors in order to gain maximum profits from your trades. If you’re having a bad day in the Forex market, take your profits and stop trading for the moment. This is a smart decision because if you stay longer (hoping to regain your lost money), you might lose more of your investment. When the prices of the currencies are moving within a so-called narrow range and isn’t going anywhere, there is no need to anticipate for a big movement. Find another currency to trade with better profit potentials.

With so many technical indicators to use, you will surely find combinations that will work best for you. Don’t be discouraged if ever you encounter some downfalls in Forex trading because that’s natural. When using technical indicators, you must give yourself enough time in doing the analysis and studies. There are so many things to consider and you can’t just do it in minutes. However, make sure that you don’t take too long in making your trading decisions because the Forex market will not slow down just to work for you. You’re the one who needs to adjust to its fast-paced environment. Keep in mind that there are also lots of traders out there who want to earn profits. You need to keep up with the competition.

Technical analysis is not very easy to do and so you will need all the help you can get. You can consult a broker or some online Forex trading tools if you want to learn more about this kind of trade. The internet is widely available and you can use it to your advantage. Educate yourself about these various technical indicators so that you can use them in identifying the market trends. For successful Forex trading, you must learn about these technical indicators.

EUR/USD Rises on Bernanke Dovish Statements

After the dollar gained in the beginning of the week as the U.S. economy provided traders with more optimism than in the Eurozone, the greenback slid today as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that low borrowing costs shall remain in the country as long as the economy need them to surge, declining appeal for the dollar in forex markets. At the moment, the EUR/USD currency pair is at 1.3581.

New home sales declined for another month reaching 309k in January, from a previous revised reading of 348k in December. Forecasts were completely wrong expecting an advance to 354k new home sales.

U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 3.0 million barrels from the previous week. At 337.5 million barrels, crude oil inventories are above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year. Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 0.9 million barrels last week, and are above the upper limit of the average range.